Josh McDaniels went against the numbers — and it backfired.
Josh McDaniels’ Las Vegas gamble caused the Raiders to bust.
Las Vegas eventually got the ball back, but at its own 15-yard line with just 12 seconds left and no timeouts.“You have two choices there,”. “You try to make it a five-point game, where you have an opportunity to win it with the touchdown if you get the ball back. Or you try to go for it there, and then if you happen to convert then you’ve got to make the two-point conversion and all the rest of it. Those are the decisions you got to make.
ESPN reported the Raiders had a 15.8 percent chance of winning had they gone for the first down, and just a 10.2 percent chance of winning with a kick.A big error by McDaniels, per our model.McDaniels’ said his decision did not indicate a lack of confidence in his offense. “I thought we did a decent job putting ourselves in third down there the next series with the defense to try to have a play to get off the field, but didn’t handle that play very well,” McDaniels said.Getty Images
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