Currently, next year’s presidential race looks more like 2016’s than 2020’s. Even though it appears likely that President Joe Biden will face off against former President Donald Trump in a rematch, 2024 stands to be more of a rehash — only this time without Hillary.
After dramatically improving the Democrats’ results from years before, Biden has dug himself into a Hillary Clinton-sized pit in just three years. His record-low approval ratings among even Democratic primary voters leave his party with two questions: Are Democrats preparing for the right race? And can Biden dig himself out?In 2020, Biden won 51.3% of the popular vote and 306 electoral votes.
A closer look at today’s national polling numbers makes the similarity to 2016 even clearer. A recent series of state polling by Bloomberg-Morning Consult, for example, shows Biden now trailing Trump in four of the five swing states he won in 2020 and tied in Michigan. In Arizona, Trump leads by 4 points, Trump leads by 5 points in Georgia, Trump leads by 1 point in Pennsylvania, and in Wisconsin, Trump leads by 2 points.
Biden has done so through a litany of failures while in the White House. Economic growth has been tepid, while inflation has been torrid. Federal spending ballooned during COVID-19 and went up from there in Biden’s first year — it has never effectively deflated. Federal deficits and debt have responded accordingly.
There is also failing school performance, which is the result of ideological indoctrination supplanting fundamental education. And there is Biden’s environmental policy that takes aim at seemingly every appliance on which the average person depends.
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