CNBC's Jim Cramer discusses the unknowns surrounding the 10-Year Treasury, the labor market, Wall Street, and corporate earnings growth as he contemplates the economic landscape of 2025.
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday talked about the uncertainty of 2025 and listed four of the most pressing macroeconomic questions he is thinking about. He highlighted unknowns about the 10-Year Treasury, the labor market , happenings on Wall Street and overall corporate earnings growth.
'At the start of every new year, I always try to figure out which stocks can work best over the next twelve months, but this year's different, precisely because there's just so much we don't know about what's coming,' he said. While that's always true to some extent, this year the stakes feel higher given that the S&P 500's put up two consecutive years of 20% plus gains for the first time since the late nineties. The 10-Year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.6% on Friday, and Cramer wondered whether it will sink to 4%, rise to 5% or continue to sit in the middle. He noted that since the Federal Reserve issued its first rate cut, long rates — which are set by the bond market — have soared. Usually, bonds and stocks move in inverse directions. Cramer suggested stocks should perform well if the 10-year yield goes lower and be fine even if it sits between 4.5% and 4.6%. But he said things could sour if long rates continue to climb and the 10-year reaches 5%. Even though the economy has started to soften in recent months, Cramer asserted that it's still strong and unemployment is low. Currently, he said he bets the labor market can stay strong. But he speculated that mass deportation under President-elect Donald Trump could cause a major labor shortage, which could lead to wage inflation
ECONOMY INVESTMENT MARKET INTEREST RATES LABOR MARKET
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