Here’s how we’re betting Saturday’s contest between the Jaguars and Chargers, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC.
If you took the names off the jerseys and judged these two teams strictly on the merits of the last 18 weeks, there isn’t a whole lot separating the Chargers and Jaguars ahead of their upcoming wild-card clash. And you might even favor Saturday’s hosts.
See for yourself: Team A ranks 13th in DVOA and seventh in point differential with an offense that slots into the top 10 by just about any metric – a key factor in this team’s five-game win streak to close the year. Team B sat at 18th in DVOA and 11th in point differential , and it struggled to find any rhythm during the regular season behind league-average units on both sides of the ball.
For those scoring at home, it should be fairly obvious which team is which. What’s less obvious is why the market remains infatuated with Los Angeles, which not only profiles as the worse team in this matchup but will be the visiting team on Saturday night – which, to be fair, won’t seem much different from the norm for the Bolts.
That’s a ton of firepower that will either be missing or limited on short rest, especially against a team that thoroughly dominated Los Angeles in that 38-10 shocker in Week 3. The Jaguars lost five straight games after that, all by one possession, but they’ve ripped off five straight wins with three coming by double digits heading into this weekend.
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