States must join forces to stop new Islamic State caliphates from forming and consolidating in the region.
This article is funded by the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the United Nations Development Programme.
Leadership tussles in Iswap are bound to occur, and countries in the region should take advantage of that to weaken the group. It has tried to present a united front in the past, but internal divisions have led to at least five leadership changes in as many years. This instability has contributed toIswa is being restructured into four caliphates — Sambisa Forest, Alagarno Forest , Tumbuma, and the Lake Chad islands, each with its own semi-autonomous leadership.
According to ISS research, 130 or more former fighters rejoined Iswap after returning from Libya in three batches between April and June. At least 70 more are reportedly expected, although it isn’t clear when this will be.A map showing the Iswap route to and from Libya and the Lake Chad Basin region.
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