Tom Rogan is a foreign policy/national security writer for the Washington Examiner. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in War Studies from King's College London, a Master of Science in Middle East politics from SOAS, and a Graduate Diploma in Law from the University of Law, London. Among others, he has previously written for National Review, the Telegraph, and the Guardian.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has pledged a decisive military response to the catastrophic Hamas invasion of Israel on Saturday. Hamas killed at least 900 Israelis and kidnapped more than 100 others. We're beginning to see indications of Israel's military strategy in the Gaza Strip.
The Israeli Defense Forces's focus currently centers on securing Israeli territory around Gaza and launching air and artillery strikes against Hamas command centers, observation posts, and weapons stockpiles in Gaza. The scale of these IDF strikes and their expansive types of targets indicate shaping operations for a coming ground offensive.
The Israeli government is well aware that any ground incursion will be bloody for both the IDF and Palestinian civilians. Still, the only way Israel can significantly degrade Hamas as a terrorist force and political entity is to dismantle its infrastructure at the source. In turn, Gaza's southern border with Egypt around Rafah will be a key focus of early Israeli ground force action.
Top line: I suspect that the IDF is about to launch a multiweek ground-air campaign of grand ambition. The Mossad is also likely to be booking its operatives into hotels in Doha. The overarching strategic objective will be to ensure that Hamas is no longer capable of conducting terrorist activities at any significant scale.
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