ISM Manufacturing Supports Reflationary Forecasts

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ISM Manufacturing Supports Reflationary Forecasts
S&P 500Walmart IncIshares Silver Trust
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Market Analysis by covering: Silver Spot US Dollar, S&P 500, Walmart Inc, iShares Silver Trust. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com

Analyst sees Tesla robotaxi revenue climbing to $250 billion by 2035Over the last couple of weeks, we have shared evidence that supports the reflationary narrative and some that defies it. Today, we share the latestThe ISM Manufacturing survey showed a big improvement in sentiment, as shown below.

The gauge shot up 4.7 to 52.6, well above expectations of 48.5. The increase was the second-largest increase in this century! The survey components were equally promising withrose to 48.1. While the gain in employment is good news, the index remains below 50, indicating contractionary conditions. It’s worth adding that many foreign ISM manufacturing surveys are also pointing higher. Confidence appears to be growing after last year’s tariff turbulence. Interestingly, despite the sharp improvement in sentiment, numerous comments in the ISM manufacturing survey were less positive than the data suggest. Might there be a “K” shaped recovery within the manufacturing sector?was not easy predict, there was one omen that it was overdue for a sharp reversal. This warning sign was surging ETF volume. ETFs are predominantly traded by retail investors, who tend to chase trends in their latter innings.Dating back to 2006, the amount traded solely on January 26th was more than the annual amounts in seven different years.Moreover, the dollar value traded last week was over $144 billion, surpassing all but five of the 21 years shown. The incredible volumes in the silver ETF leave little doubt that retail investors are actively trading silver. To add some context to what this might mean, we share the second graph below, which shows the prior bubble peak in late April 2011. As shown, the price in April 2011 spiked and peaked. During that final surge, the daily volume exploded by about 10x. The price surge and massive increase in SLV trading volume were unsustainable. Is today different?stocks with market caps over $1 trillion. The list is almost entirely composed of technology companies, except for Walmart and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:underscores management’s effort to reframe Walmart not merely as a traditional retailer, but as a technology-enabled distribution and logistics platform. These actions more than paid off, as shown below.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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