Is public opinion turning against Pres. Trump? FiveThirtyEight breaks it down:
The way Biden has a big electoral win is a bloc of Republicans in the suburbs of Atlanta, Dallas and Houston decide not to vote, at least for Trump. . Bush lives in the Dallas suburbs!Not to mention, in 2018 these types of voters flipped to Democrats.I agree that it’s not a big bloc. But there is a bloc of maybe 10 percent of Trump voters, and they tend to be more liberal on most issues than the Republican Party as a whole.
But they are also younger, so I’m not sure how much they will care about what a bunch of senior Republicans have to say. Then again, they might care more about issues of racial injustice and the future of the Republican Party beyond Trump.I am not going to be able to beat back the “But 2016” rejoinder. I get it. I just think this race might be different.That’s fair, Perry. It’s a good point. And I’m definitely guilty of overcompensating for 2016 from time to time.
And say if Biden picks Sens. Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren — two of the most liberal members of the Senate — as his running mate, maybe you’re in a situation where Trump is getting 44 percent of the vote and is viable in swing states.The problem for the Trump campaign is they already have very good numbers among Republicans. So they really need Biden’s numbers to crater among independents much like Clinton’s did.
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