The attack exposed the limits of the US’s willingness to be dragged into a wider conflict. This may moderate Israel’s next move, says analyst Esfandyar Batmanghelidj
The attack exposed the limits of the US’s willingness to be dragged into a wider conflict. This may moderate Israel’s next movearlier this month, after an Israeli airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Damascus killed several military commanders, Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, used his sermon to mark Eid al-Fitr to equate Israel’s attack on the diplomatic facility to an attack on Iranian soil, and vowed that Israel’s “mistake” would be punished.
It is therefore surprising that Iran chose to attack Israeli territory from its own on Saturday night. Officials and analysts had expected a measured retaliation. Importantly, Iran had given Israel and its partners ample time to prepare for an assault. Iran also engaged in back-channel talks to make clear that it was not seeking to trigger a war.
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