Iowa State vs Miami Predictions: Over is Key in Pop-Tarts Bowl

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Iowa State vs Miami Predictions: Over is Key in Pop-Tarts Bowl
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Two strong teams outside of the College Football Playoff will clash in the Pop-Tarts Bowl. The article focuses on why the Over is a good bet, highlighting the decline in Iowa State's defense and Miami's powerful running game.

While all the attention will be on Miami 's Cam Ward playing ONE MORE GAME, Hurricanes RB Damien Martinez will be the difference maker against an Iowa State team that can't slow ground games. But we're focused on the Over for several reasons. Two of the best teams outside of the College Football Playoff will meet on Saturday when the Iowa State Cyclones and Miami Hurricanes square off in the Pop-Tarts Bowl at Camping World Stadium in Orlando.

A blowout loss in the Big 12 Championship ruined the Cyclones' hopes of participating in the playoff, and they’ll want to end their season on a much higher note. The same goes for a Hurricane team that was stunned by Syracuse in the regular-season finale, knocking them out of the ACC Championship game and the playoffs simultaneously. Our Iowa State vs Miami predictions for Saturday, December 28 explain why Cam Ward’s decision to participate means we should see plenty of fireworks for our' first eight games of the season. The defense notched at least one pick in each of those first contests and had two in six. But starting with their defeat to Kansas, they’ve not come away with a single pick in five straight games. And it’s no coincidence that they lost two of those games and narrowly avoided defeat in a third. Teams figured out they could run the ball down Iowa State’s throat, and then hit plays through the air once the safeties started creeping down. It’s also no coincidence that the average opponent QBR over Iowa State’s last five games was 154.1 compared to 85.3 over the first eight. And Utah and Arizona State both vastly eclipsed the 52.8% completion rate the Cyclones allowed on the season.surrounds Cam Ward, the running game will likely be key to munching on some Pop-Tarts after the final whistle. Miami ranks fifth in EPA/rush on the season and leads college football in both early down EPA and third-down succes

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