What the analytics predict for Iowa State vs. Kansas State by a football model that picks winners.
A notable Big 12 matchup that will help decide the crowded conference title picture kicks off as Iowa State welcomes Kansas State on Saturday night. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert analytical football model that projects scores and picks winners.The good news for the Cyclones is they will make it to Arlington to face Arizona State if there’s a four-way tie at 7-2 based on the current tiebreaker rules. First, they have to win.
SP+ predicts that Kansas State will defeat Iowa State by a projected score of 26 to 25 and to win the game by an expected margin of 0.6 points.SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
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