Iowa meltdown, Trump bump are 2020 warning signs for Democrats

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Iowa meltdown, Trump bump are 2020 warning signs for Democrats
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Analysis: In this week's caucus mishap, many of the Democratic Party's vulnerabilities were on full display — just as the strength of the president's position came into sharp relief.

Biden's candidacy kept other prominent Democrats including former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe and Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown from running.

Though voter preference surveys show that crossover exists between candidates on the progressive and centrist sides of the party, Wolf broke down the major primary candidates into sets in which the centrists represent 55 percent to 60 percent of the party and the two progressives — Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren — account for 40 percent to 45 percent.

Going into the 2016 presidential election, the data analytics surveys and models prepared by Hillary Clinton's campaign — which were understood by a relatively small set of people on her team — suggested she was in a strong position to win the states necessary to rack up an Electoral College victory. She was as blindsided by Trump's victory as the rest of the Democratic Party was.

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