Stock futures point to a strong opening for 2025, but investors are cautioned about potential market disruptions. While 2024 saw strong performance, upcoming economic data and earnings season could impact the positive momentum.
Investors are feeling themselves to start 2025. They might want to take a deep breath first. Stock futures indicated a strong open on Thursday, with those tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 280 points, or 0.7%. S & P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures were also up 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. If the S & P 500 manages to gain 1% or more on the day, it will mark its best first trading day of the year since 2013, according to Bespoke Investment Group.
"The only way valuations for this market aren't prohibitive is if we get substantial earnings growth," wrote Essaye. Indeed, the S & P 500 is trading near 27 times trailing earnings — near levels not seen since 2021. On a forward earnings basis, the benchmark trades at a more reasonable level of 22, though that's still close to the highest in more than three years. Investors will also have to watch out for the Fed meeting slated for the final week of January.
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