Government forecasts that net migrant numbers would fall to 375,000 in 2023-24 will be missed by a wide mark, but an ambition to halve the measure by 2024-25 is in reach.
Already a subscriber?A 31 per cent plunge in study visa approvals, taking them back to pre-pandemic levels, is driving a reset of migration levels, as efforts to crack down on non-genuine students reshapes the education sector.
The student crackdown, which is also capturing many thousands of genuine students in its net, is contributing to a tapering of overall migration. Experts said the government would probably miss its forecast of 375,000 migrants for 2023-24 by a wide mark, but may still hit its target of 250,000 for the following year.
Keri Ramirez, head of consultancy Studymove, said the decline in new student visas, especially in the English-language sector, was beginning to drag down total numbers to such an extent that the government may meet its target to halve net overseas migration to 250,000 in 2024-25. Simon and Jun Craft say they are on the cusp of having to shut down their English-language college due to the effects of harsh migration reforms.Mr Craft said it was respectable, high-quality colleges such as his that were being dealt a bitter blow by the migration reform process while dodgy vocational colleges, which the government had promised to target, seemed to be relatively unharmed.
Almost half of all prospective students who wanted to go to the UK and Australia were reconsidering or unsure of their plans, according to IDP research that was conducted in January.The Koala News
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