Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates

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Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates
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If the Federal Reserve needs any further evidence that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily easing, it’s likely to come Wednesday, when the government is expected to report that inflation cooled further last month.

FILE - People ride on the Mamba roller coaster at Worlds of Fun theme park as storm clouds build in the distance on June 21, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. Consumer prices are thought to have risen just 0.2% from June to July, according to economists surveyed by FactSet, a pace only slightly above the Fed’s 2% annual inflation target. Measured from a year earlier, inflation is forecast to have remained 3%, the same as in June.

At a news conference last month, Powell said that cooler inflation data this spring had strengthened the Fed's confidence that price increases are falling back to a 2% annual pace. Inflation was low in May, and overall consumer prices slipped 0.1% in June, the first decline in four years. “Yes, it’s coming," Bostic said in Atlanta to the Conference of African American Financial Professionals."I want to see a little more data. ... We need to make sure the trend is real ... but it is coming.”

As inflation continues to decline, the Fed is paying increasingly close attention to the job market. The central bank's goals, as defined by Congress, are to keep prices stable and support maximum employment.

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