Impact of school closures on education outcomes in South Africa

[ANALYSIS] Impact of school closures on education outcomes in South Africa eNCA

data to illustrate the patterns of expected learning losses over the next few months due to school closures and disruptions.We plotted the kernel density learning curves for the 2015 study scores and a reduced learning average across the distribution. We then plotted the kernel density curves for the fee-paying and no-fee schools and the reduced learning averages for each.

We use the cut-off score of 300 to show the numbers of poorly achieving learners. The shaded portions in these graphs show the increased proportion of learners achieving very low achievement scores. The existing data show a larger proportion of learners in no-fee schools obtaining scores below the 300 point cut-off compared to learners in fee-paying schools.

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