IMF warns of higher recession risk and darker global outlook

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IMF warns of higher recession risk and darker global outlook
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Two principal economists painted very different pictures Thursday of what the global economy will look like in the coming years.

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks on the global economic outlook and key issues to be addressed at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings at Georgetown University in Washington, Oct. 6, 2022.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, on the other side of town at the Center for Global Development, focused on how the U.S. and its allies could contribute to making longer-term investments to the global economy.She called for ambitious policy solutions and didn’t use the word “recession” once. But despite Yellen’s more measured view, she said “the global economy faces significant uncertainty.

Georgieva said the IMF estimates that countries making up one-third of the world economy will see at least two consecutive quarters of economic contraction this or next year and added that the institution downgraded its global growth projections already three times. It now expects 3.2% for 2022 and now 2.9% for 2023.

Yellen agreed Thursday that “macroeconomic tightening in advanced countries can have international spillovers.” The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development last week said the global economy is set to lose $2.8 trillion in output in 2023 because of the war.

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