IMF slashes Philippines 2023 growth target to 5.3 percent

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IMF slashes Philippines 2023 growth target to 5.3 percent
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based International Monetary Fund has slashed its 2023 economic growth forecast for the Philippines to 5.3 percent from the original target of 6.2 percent as the economy confronted a confluence of global shocks.

This file photo taken on January 26, 2022, shows the seal for the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC.Washington — based International Monetary Fund has slashed its 2023 economic growth forecast for the Philippines to 5.3 percent from the original target of 6.2 percent as the economy confronted a confluence of global shocks.

The Philippines slipped into recession in 2020 with the GDP contracting by 9.5 percent as the economy stalled due to the imposition of strict COVID quarantine and lockdown protocols. “Decisive monetary tightening and moderate minimum wage hikes helped mitigate inflationary pressures, with headline inflation now expected to return to the BSP’s target band by the first quarter of 2024. However, core inflation remains elevated and inflation risks are tilted to the upside, including higher commodity prices that could lead to second-round effects,” Peiris said.

IMF now sees inflation accelerating to six percent this year from 5.8 percent last year before easing to 3.5 percent next year. The BSP earlier raised its inflation forecasts to 5.8 percent from 5.6 percent for this year and to 3.5 percent from 3.3 percent for next year. On the other hand, he pointed out that a more resilient US economy and a rebound in domestic demand, supported by an easing of financial conditions provide upside risks.

According to a respected agricultural economist from Harvard, the good news is: “The world rice market has, so far, survived these severe shocks with heartening resilience and little panic.

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