The IMF projects global headline inflation to fall to 3.5% by the end of 2025.
The International Monetary Fund projects global headline inflation will fall to 3.5% year-over-year by the end of 2025 from 5.8% in 2024A spike in commodity prices would especially hurt lower-income nations, the IMF added
"Despite the good news on inflation, downside risks are increasing and now dominate the outlook," said IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas. "While inflation expectations have remained well anchored this time around, it may be harder next time, as workers and firms will be more vigilant in protecting their standards of living and profits going forward," the report stated.
Further challenges to global financial markets could come in the final stretch of the fight against inflation. Market turbulence and contagion is a key risk if underlying inflation remains stubborn — a key risk to low-income countries that are already under stress from high sovereign debt and currency market volatility.
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