IMF's projection for SA's economic outlook is more optimistic | City Press

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IMF's projection for SA's economic outlook is more optimistic | City Press
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IMF's projection for SA's economic outlook is more optimistic

South Africa’s economy is expected to grow by 1.3% in 2023 and 1.4% next year, according to the latest International Monetary Fund global economic outlook report.

Chief economist at Investec Annabel Bishop says investor sentiment has dipped in light of no clear solutions to end load shedding in the country. Inflation and rising interest rates have also added to the economy’s woes. Inflation risks remained tilted to the upside. Headline inflation is currently at 7.1% while food inflation was in the double digits at the last count. But electricity outages have increased the cost of food production, which can only mean that consumers will likely see food prices remain elevated.

Bishop said:"The looming threat of stage 8 load shedding, and outages including stage 6 so far, have eroded confidence in the domestic economic outlook, with no government solution in sight in the near-term, pushing the rand weaker."The IMF’s optimism extended to its outlook on global growth projections. It now estimates global growth will fall to 2.9% in 2023 from 3.4% last year but will rise to 3.1% in 2024. The 2023 outlook is 0.

"With tightening monetary policy and negative terms of trade shock due to the increase in the price of its imported energy, we expect growth to bottom out at 0.7% this year in the region. Emerging markets and developing economies have already bottomed out as a group with expected to rise modestly to 4% and 4.2% this year and next. With China’s economy reopening we project growth rebounding to 5.2% in 2023.

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