i understands that “scenario planning” for a Trump win is already happening at highest levels of government.
understands that “scenario planning” for a Trump win is already happening at highest levels of government.
Trump has repeatedly said he could settle the war between Ukraine and Russia in 24 hours if he is elected, while his vice-presidential pick,, has been an outspoken critic of US military assistance for Kyiv. Just days before Vladimir Putin’s invasion in 2022, Vance said: “I don’t really care what happens to Ukraine one way or another”.
He compares the aggression he predicts in Putin to the aggression of Hitler’s expansionism on the eve of the Second World War. “Unless stopped, he will carry on,” he said. “I think it is 1938.”Lord Ricketts, another former Foreign Office permanent secretary shares the concern.
“At the same time we need to show that we’re not just asking America to do more, but that we Europeans are also stepping up our efforts.”Others are more relaxed about Trump and Ukraine. The first piece of advice James Heappey – a former Tory defence minister between 2019-2024 – has on dealing with Trump 2.0 is “don’t panic”.
After leaving No 10 May said that she “never knew what to expect” when dealing with Trump. Her government was repeatedly blindsided by his administration, including when it made the wild claim in March 2017 that GCHQ had eavesdropped on Trump at the behest of Barack Obama., he shot back: “Don’t focus on me, focus on the destructive Radical Islamic Terrorism that is taking place within the United Kingdom.”.
The former Nato diplomat said this would require the “unedifying spectacle” of “flattery and pandering”. “Trump listens to us,” he said. “On Nato we should robustly make the case for Washington in Europe, insisting to European powers that it’s really not that complicated – stump up 2 per cent on defence and the nasty bogeyman goes away.”
“Foreign military interventions intended to produce something better invariably have the opposite effect, because public opinion rallies to the national cause,” Sir Peter said. “Regime change itself, like most revolutions, tends to produce either something worse or a power vacuum leading to ungovernable chaos.”Outside of the security sphere, the thing keeping many foreign leaders up at night about a second Trump administration is what it would mean for trade.
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