Here's how the U.S. can responsibly reopen the economy without causing a second coronavirus wave: ForbesFrontlines
The desire to reopen is not unreasonable. Over 36 million Americans have filed unemployment claims while many others are struggling to afford food and housing, and calls to suicide hotlines have risen astronomically. However, at least one influential model from the University of Washington nearly doubled its nationwide projection for Covid-19 deaths over the next several months largely because of state reopening plans.
Ideally, each state would first demonstrate sufficient testing capacity to identify and isolate cases. While testing has expanded across the U.S, severalstill have too high a percent of positive tests, one metric of adequate testing capacity. Sufficient testing is critical in our ability to gauge the second criteria for opening, which is a decreased trend in confirmed cases for two to three weeks.
It’s important to remember that a public health crisis led to the economic downturn. If we bring the pandemic under control, the economy will start to come back. In the meantime, we need to continue supporting effective policies that mitigate the economic consequences of social distancing interventions. This includes unemployment benefits, small business loans, food and housing assistance, paid leave and childcare assistance, and increased access to behavioral health services.
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