How MPs will likely vote in today's Brexit indicative votes

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How MPs will likely vote in today's Brexit indicative votes
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Soft Brexit, revoke Article 50, or second referendum? How will MPs vote in tonight's Brexit votes?

for if MPs refuse to back a deal by the time Britain is due to leave the EU. Until recently this was a fringe position in British politics. However, the recent petition, which has been signed by more than 5 million voters, pushed this issue into the mainstream. While there is almost no chance of a majority of MPs backing the option today, it cannot be ruled out as a future option if MPs fail to find an alternative course before Britain's exit date from the EU. One to watch for the future.

The Labour leadership's own motion is broadly in line with this. However, there are signs that the party may also throw its weight behind a backbench motion brought forward by Labour and Conservative pro-Europeans for a"Common Market 2.0" or"Norway Plus" relationship with the EU. This option would leave Britain very closely tied to the EU and could potentially command a majority of MPs.

However, with most Conservative MPs opposing and Labour deeply split between those in Leave seats who object to the plan as a betrayal of the referendum result and Remainers who are holding out for a second referendum, this option is likely to fail to win a majority — at least at the first time of asking.

However, if plans go ahead for another run-off series of indicative votes next week in which the best losers from today's votes are voted on again then it could potentially squeak by, particularly if it is judged as the best option for preventing a no-deal Brexit.Our Brexit Insider Facebook group is the best place for up-to-date news and analysis about Britain's departure from the EU, direct from Business Insider's political reporters.

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