How climate scientists communicate risk is still imperfect but shows improvement, finds assessment RutgersU NatureClimate
The consequences of improving communications are enormous, the scientists said, as civic leaders actively incorporate climate scientists' risk assessments into major planning efforts to counter some of the effects of rising seas.the scientists review the language and graphics used in climate"assessment" reports between 1990 and 2021 by members of the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change .
This means, statistically speaking, future sea level change is characterized by two different types of uncertainty, said Kopp, who is the director of the Megalopolitan Coastal Transformation Hub, a 13-institution partnership led by Rutgers, and co-director of the Rutgers"There's quantifiable uncertainty, which can be measured and presented with a degree of confidence," he said,"and then there's ambiguity, a form of deep uncertainty that cannot be well represented...
But when conveying sea level uncertainties that have been and remain difficult to quantify, the language in the reports often has fallen short, either oversimplifying projections or conveying the information in a confusing manner, according to the analysis. Such language could lead policymakers to neglect the risks associated with possible high-end, sea-level outcomes.
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