The 2024 campaign cycle will mark 70 years since the House last flipped control after a single two-year term. House Republicans want to make sure history doesn’t repeat itself.
Back then, House Republicans capitalized on President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s big 1952 White House win to claim a narrow majority. But it only lasted for two years. Democrats won back House control in the 1954 midterm elections and held it for 40 years.The 2024 battle for House control comes as Republicans hold almost the narrowest of majorities in the chamber over Democrats, 222-213.
Some or all of those Democrats in Trump-won seats will be top Republican targets in 2024. That includes Democratic Reps. Matt Cartwright in the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and northeastern Pennsylvania 8th Congressional District, Jared Golden in the northern Maine 2nd District, and Marcy Kaptur in the Toledo and northwestern Ohio 9th District, along with freshman Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez in southwestern Washington's 3rd District, who before coming to Congress was an auto repair shop co-owner.
New York state was a particular disaster for House Democrats in 2022. Led by then Rep. Lee Zeldin of Long Island, the 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee, House Republicans frequently talked up the scourge of rising crime across New York and nationally. They railed against a streak of shootings and other violent crimes, including a series of unprovoked attacks on New York City subways.
So, in 2024, House Democrats likely will aim first at freshmen lawmakers. The most obvious target is fabulist GOP Rep. George Santos of Long Island, elected in 2022 to represent the northern Nassau County 3rd District.
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