+34
Check out our free-to-read House election model to see which party is winning in each district
Every day, our model explores 10,000 different paths each House race could take. These simulations allow one party to do unusually well or poorly nationwide, and also provide appropriate uncertainty in each specific contest.
The bars below display the probability of each major party winning a specific number of seats.Most House races are uncompetitive. However, a few dozen front-line races will determine whether the Democrats can expand their majority, or see it dwindle or even disappear. The map below displays the party favoured to win each seat, and its estimated probability of victory.House races are winner-take-all, and a party’s share of seats can differ from its vote share. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of each party’s share of all votes for House candidates, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes. We impute missing votes in districts where candidates are unopposed. Sources: Clerk of the House of Representatives; Congressional Quarterly; MIT Election Lab; VoteView; Gary Jacobson; Ballotpedia; Daily Kos Elections; OurCampaigns; state election records; Corwin Smidt; American National Election Studies; Polidata; RealClearPolitics; DC Political Report; FiveThirtyEight; US Election Atlas; Huffington Post Pollster; Congressional District Religiosity Dataset; American Community Survey; United States Census; Wikipedia; Database on Ideology, Money in Politics, and Elections; Carl Klarner; Federal Election Commission; Joseph Bafumi; Roper Center;
Scratch the next story
United States Latest News, United States Headlines
Similar News: You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
White House Correspondents Association denounces Trump motorcade photo-op without protective poolThe White House Correspondents Association president denounced Trump for boarding his motorcade for a photo op around Walter Reed without the protective travel pool that is supposed to accompany the US President whenever he is out of the White House
Read more »
White House reassurances about Trump's condition stir doubts insteadWhile multiple photos were released showing Trump in different locations and with different clothes, the metadata shows they were taken 10 minutes apart, implying they may have been staged to create the impression of a full day of presidential business
Read more »
U.S. vice presidential debate to include plexiglass barrier after White House outbreakVice President Mike Pence and challenger Kamala Harris will be separated by a plexiglass barrier during their debate on Wednesday in an effort to lower the risk of coronavirus transmission, the commission overseeing the event said.
Read more »
House panel investigates political interference by White House over coronavirus at CDC and FDAThe subcommittee is seeking documents and information from the FDA and CDC on agency actions, drafts submitted to the White House and changes made during the review process.
Read more »