October temperatures are affecting drought and fire threats
“ October ’s usually warm,”Midway through the month, 2025 already ranks second for the most 90°+ days on record in October . Only last year, 2024, sits ahead with 18.Will we break that record? I don’t think so.
But with more 90s showing up in the 10-day forecast, the count could creep a little higher before Halloween.Part of the story is long-term: our world is warming, which makes record-setting Octobers more likely. But short-term factors are playing a big role, too, mainly rainfall, or the lack of it. Houston hasn’t recorded measurable rain since September 24. Over the last two and a half months, we’ve seen just 3.54 inches of rain, about 8.5 inches below what we’d normally expect since August 1.That dryness sets up a self-reinforcing cycle:Less atmospheric moisture means less evaporative cooling.And the cycle repeats drying things out even more.Hot-tober!We haven’t had a single below-average temperature day since September 9,Morning lows this week have been relatively cool, but these temperatures are near normal for mid-October and reflect the very dry air in place.for Houston, with an average temperature around 79.3°F.With two weeks left in the month, expect average temperatures to trend downward. A couple of fronts are forecast over the coming days, and the 10-day outlook shows a mix: two more 90° days, but also plenty of 60s and 80s to close out October. I’ll keep an eye on how that 79.3°F monthly average shifts as we approach Halloween.Copyright 2025 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.
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