PETALING JAYA: El Nino, the weather pattern that usually brings hot and dry days, is forecast to come later this year, say climatologists.
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia’s Earth Sciences and Environment Department chairman Prof Dr Fredolin Tangang said while it was still early to tell at this stage, experimental models tended to predict between a weak and a moderate El Nino.
Referring to scientific forecasts issued by the United States’ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Centre and the South Korean Apec Climate Centre this month, Prof Fredolin said both centres were forecasting rapid diminishing of the current La Nina condition and switching into El Nino and the Southern Oscillation -neutral condition by March to April 2023, but rapidly evolving into an El Nino condition.
More heavy rainfall, flooding and droughts would be expected, he said, adding that more heatwaves would also be experienced around the world during El Nino as almost the whole world would experience elevated increased temperatures on top of the elevated temperature due to global warming. “Furthermore, La Nina is still active and this can elevate the likelihood of heavy rainfall episodes and flooding,” he said.
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