Hindenburg Strikes: Omen or False Alarm?

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Hindenburg Strikes: Omen or False Alarm?
S&P 500Qualcomm IncorporatedAdvanced Micro Devices Inc
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Market Analysis by covering: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Qualcomm Incorporated, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com

Last Wednesday, for the first time since November 2021, a Hindenburg Omen hit. This gauge is triggered when an upward trend is met with a growing number of stocks hitting both new 52-week highs and lows.

Such indicates bad breadth, weakening momentum, and indecision. If all five conditions listed below are met, the indicator gives a yellow signal. If such an occurrence happens twice within 36 days, a Hindenburg Omen is triggered:New Highs Expansion: At least 2.2% of NYSE stocks hit new 52-week highsBreadth Threshold: The lesser of new highs or new lows must exceed 2.8% of total NYSE issues.The graph shows that over the last eight years, not all Hindenburg Omens resulted in significant drawdowns; however, an Omen accurately preceded the steep pandemic decline in 2020. While not shown, the Hindenburg Omen effectively warned of the twin peaks before the 2008 Financial Crisis and the Dotcom bubble top.and finds that Omens become more concerning when a large cluster of signals forms over a short period. Their website notes that both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq triggered a Hindenburg Omen last week. Bottom line: market breadth is horrendous and will likely lead to a rotation favoring out-of-favor sectors and stocks. Thus, it’s not surprising that the Hindenburg Omen was triggered. If we continue to see more of these Omens, the threat of a drawdown grows.labor report this week. The ISM surveys not only provide a broad economic sentiment reading but also break it down into subcomponents. Many investors will key on new orders as a gauge of future economic activity, along with prices and employment data. As we noted last week, ADP will now report its job gain/loss data weekly. Thus, after last week’s report of a 14k-job gain for the month ending October 11, we should expect a similar reading. However, this report will be its monthly report, which includes more details than its new weekly report. The number of daily earnings reports will die down this week, but there are still a few important ones to follow. Included in this list are: The Fed will be active on the speaking circuit and will hopefully provide more details on why they ended QT and their perceived monetary policy path ahead., have risen sharply this year. Of course, whenever any asset class experiences a more speculative melt-up, investors are quick to rationalize whyThe cryptocurrency community believes all fiat currencies will fail and everything will move to the digital asset. But when it comes to gold, the voices have grown loudly, claiming the reasons for the rise are debasement of the dollar, de-dollarization, and soaring debt levels.“Beneath the surface of the short-term ups and downs of financial markets, a longer-term repricing of multiple assets may be underway as investors seek to protect themselves from the Those who believe in it are pulling away from sovereign debt and the currencies they are denominated in , fearful their value will be eroded over time as governments avoid tackling their massive debt burdens and even seek to add to them.Further fuel is coming from speculation that central banks will face increasing political pressure to hold down interest rates to offset what governments owe — andThe problem with the Bloomberg article is that it was unresearched and just a recycling of already prevalent myths. In this article, we will go through each gold myth and present the data behind the analysis.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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