Here's why Solana could drop below $100 despite steady ETF inflows

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Here's why Solana could drop below $100 despite steady ETF inflows
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Solana (SOL) hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Solana holds above $120 following a nearly 2% decline on Monday, risking further correction in a descending wedge pattern.Institutional confidence in Solana remains steady as ETFs extend their streak with a $2.

93 million inflow on Monday.Derivatives data reveals fresh capital inflow amid rising bearish bets, indicating a sell-side dominance.Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week. However, the derivatives data indicates a sell-side inclination in traders' sentiment amid rising SOL futures Open Interest.Institutions bag SOL as retail sentiment faltersSolana ETFs recorded their lowest weekly collection of $13.14 million, down from $66.55 million the previous week, suggesting lower institutional interest amid broader cryptocurrency market volatility. Still, an inflow of $2.93 million on Monday, after a net-zero flow on Friday, reflects steady demand.Solana spot ETFs data. Source: SosovalueOn the derivatives side, retail sentiment inclines to a sell-side strategy. CoinGlass data shows that the SOL futures Open Interest – total notional value of active positions – is at $7.68 billion on Monday, up from $7.54 billion on the previous day. This suggests that traders are pouring fresh capital into Solana derivatives. SOL futures Open Interest. Source: CoinGlassHowever, the long-to-short ratio reflects a bearish bias in active positions, suggesting that capital inflows may have fueled the short positional buildup. The short positions account for 52.49%, up from 49.85% over the last 24 hours.SOL long-to-short ratio chart. Source: CoinGlassTechnical outlook: Could Solana bounce back?Solana hovers near $120 within a descending wedge pattern formed by two converging trendlines on the daily chart. The reversal from $130 on Monday, which led to an almost 2% decline, risks a steeper correction toward the support trendline connecting the November 21 and December 18 lows, near $115.If SOL drops below $115, it could test the S1 Pivot Point at $107, which serves as support, above the April 7 low at $95.The momentum indicators on the daily chart remain mixed as Solana fluctuates between $120 and $125. The Relative Strength Index at 41 extends a sideways trend below the 50% mark, indicating persistent bearish pressure. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence bounces off the signal line toward the zero line, suggesting a boost in bullish momentum.SOL/USDT daily logarithmic chart.Looking up, if SOL exceeds the overhead trendline, connecting the November 12 and December 9 highs, near $133, it could test the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $137.

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