Here are the Texas House races that Democrats and Republicans think they can flip

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Here are the Texas House races that Democrats and Republicans think they can flip
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Democrats — riding a wave of enthusiasm sparked by Kamala Harris’ nomination — think they can flip just enough House seats to stop Republicans from passing school vouchers.

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Also at stake is House Speaker Dade Phelan’s control of the chamber amid a revolt from right-wing members who believe the Beaumont Republican is not conservative enough. Democratic wins in certain districts could cut into the support of Phelan’s intra-party challenger, state Rep. David Cook of Mansfield, who has aligned himself with the rightmost flank of the party and vowed to block the minority party from having any leadership positions in the House.bid against GOP Sen.

Also on Democrats’ shortlist are several more challenging targets in the Austin and Dallas suburbs, as well as a San Antonio district where in the March primary right-wing conservative Marc LaHood ousted Steve Allison, the moderate Republican incumbent, in a district where school vouchers could be a deciding issue.

Alcala said voters will punish Republicans in the battleground districts over their actions on education and abortion. Republicans see another promising pickup opportunity in the seat being vacated by state Rep. Tracy King, a Democrat from Uvalde whose district runs from Laredo to just south of San Antonio. King, who was first elected to the House in 1994, was seen as an old-school conservative Democrat who had staying power with the district’s voters. But Abbott carried the district by nearly 6 percentage points in 2022, and under the current boundaries, Trump would have won it by about 4 points in 2020.

The outcome of that race should have little effect on the balance of power in the state Senate, where Republicans control 19 of the 31 seats and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, the presiding officer, has long maintained a tight grip on the chamber. But it would add to Republicans’ recent victories in largely Hispanic South Texas, traditionally a Democratic stronghold.

“I would put it this way: I would love to have the election today,” Murphy said. “We're assuming it's going to be a huge fight, but like other years, we do feel like we have an advantage.”Democrats see perhaps their best pickup opportunities in the Button and Lujan districts — both suburban seats where they have young, energetic female candidates who have raised lots of money and are running against pro-voucher, anti-abortion incumbents.

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Politics Texas Legislature Democrats Republicans Angie Chen Button Greg Abbott Morgan Meyer Dade Phelan John Lujan Janie Lopez

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