This story begins in early 1940, when a local on the island of Nikumaroro came across a skull and a bottle.
describing the find as essentially conclusive, Jantz reiterated his argument from the 1998 presentation that Hoodless could not adequately analyze the bones. In this most recent paper, Jantz appears even more confident than his 1998 presentation, arguing that modern methods produce results that suggest a 99 percent certainty that the bones belonged to Earhart:
That nearly-complete certainty refers specifically to the kind of analysis Jantz performed, in which he compared the dimensions of the Nikumaroro bones to a pool of data which contained a random assortment of 2776 Euro-American individual’s skeletal measurements."If the bones do not belong to Amelia Earhart," he,"then they are from someone very similar to her. And, as we have seen, a random individual has a very low probability of possessing that degree of similarity.
Sex assessment from skeletal remains is one, if not the most common, error that has been routinely made by non-physical/forensic anthropologists. [...] If I were a betting man, I'd put my money on the interpretation forwarded by Richard Jantz.the BBC the methods are an interesting solution to a hard scientific problem, but that the certainty of the findings has been oversold:
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