Likely 2024 voters were surveyed across Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Since our last Swing State Project Survey in August, millions of dollars in advertising have been spent, a highly anticipated presidential debate has occurred, and there was another assassination attempt on Trump’s life. However, these significant events had little impact on the overall horse race in the battleground states.
Our August survey also found Harris with a narrow lead overall and leading or tied with Trump in all but one of the seven battleground states. Underneath the topline numbers, though, there have been some significant shifts, most notably Trump’s slipping advantage on his two strongest issues — inflation and immigration. However, Harris has seen some slippage of her own: as her lead among independent voters has shrunk from eight points this summer to two points in September.
Nlpolitics Donald-Trump Kamala-Harris Tim-Walz Jd-Vance
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