Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Winston Peters in position to become election kingmaker

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Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Winston Peters in position to become election kingmaker
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Latest survey sees support for New Zealand First exceed 5% for second month as Labour falters and National remains unchanged ahead of October election

August’s Guardian Essential poll revealed that 45% of respondents “somewhat” or “strongly” agreed that none of the current options for prime minister appealed to them; the number increased to 46% in September. Hipkins recorded 40% strongly positive sentiment – down from 43% in August – and 27% strongly negative .The results overall paint a picture of voters seeking change – but unenthusiastic about who should provide it.

A new question in the September poll revealed 42% of respondents think New Zealand is becoming “much more divided”, with 35% responding that the country is “a little” more fractured. A total of 3% of those polled believed the country was becoming less divided. This poll was conducted by Essential – a signatory to the New Zealand Political Polling Code – and has a sample size of 1,154, using quotas set to be representative of the target population by age, gender and location. Respondents not eligible or not intending to vote are excluded from voting intention questions. Weighting is applied to the data using factors of age, gender, location and enrolment status, from Statistics New Zealand and New Zealand Electoral Commission data.

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