Blake Masters is running just a handful of points behind Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly in recent polling
Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Blake Masters speaks at a campaign rally on Oct. 9, 2022, in Mesa, Arizona. | Mario Tama/Getty ImagesJust a month after national Republicans appeared to give up on Arizona Republican Blake Masters, the Trump-backed Senate candidate has staged a comeback — and Arizona is in play.
After Masters’ poor performance in post-primary polling, many observers appeared to conclude that the 36-year-old venture capitalist was a longshot to unseat Kelly, a former astronaut with a formidable fundraising operation. Polling in Arizona has not always been accurate in recent elections. In Arizona’s 2020 special Senate election, for instance, polls showed Kelly with a sizable, at times double-digit lead over then-Sen. Martha McSally, who was appointed to the seat in 2019. An election-eve survey by Reuters and Ipsos had Kelly leading by 9 percentage points. But Kelly ultimately won by just under 2.5 points.
While it remains to be seen whether Thiel himself will put additional money into Saving Arizona, the vehicle he used to help Masters win the GOP nomination, other donors have given to the super PAC since the primary. A spokesperson for Saving Arizona said the super PAC believes it will have the resources needed to remain on television for Masters through Election Day.
One of the biggest shifts seen since this summer is older voters moving to Masters, said Chuck Coughlin, CEO of HighGround. Just after the Aug. 2 primary — a bitter Republican contest — voters 65 and older “were all over the map,” Coughlin said. In the firm’s most recent poll, many of those voters were committed to the GOP, which is consistent with historic precedent.
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