Good news for petrol prices and interest rates in South Africa next month

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Good news for petrol prices and interest rates in South Africa next month
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South Africans are expected to have two things to be very happy about next month, with current data pointing to relief on the way.

Markets have calmed from a panic-induced sell-off last week, with the rand getting stronger and rising oil prices being generally contained.

The main contributor to the small downward shift is the oil price, which edged above $80 a barrel after rising almost 4% last week. Currently, at around $80 a barrel, oil prices are contributing to an 80 cents per litre over-recovery in local fuel prices, which benefits motorists. The rand, meanwhile, is undercutting this by around 10 cents per litre, given its weaker footing relative to July.

According to Investec chief economist Annabel Bishop, the start of the week has seen a calm return to markets, with a concomitant strengthening of the rand to around R18.25/$. “Usually, South African assets are “high beta” to global markets, meaning they fall by more in times of stress,” Odendaal said.

“The Fed is expected to cut by at least 25bp points at its next three FOMC meetings—in September, November and December—and then by 25bp at the four meetings in H1.25—January, March, May and June.

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