Global emissions at ‘all-time high’ causing unprecedented rate of global warming, scientists warn

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Global emissions at ‘all-time high’ causing unprecedented rate of global warming, scientists warn
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Latest data from leading Irish and UK climatologists coincides with climate negotiations in advance of ‘global stocktake’ at Cop28

Too late now to save Arctic summer ice, climate scientists find“This is the critical decade for climate change. Decisions made now will have an impact on how much temperatures will rise and the degree and severity of impacts we will see as a result,” said Prof Piers Forster, who is co-ordinating the project.

Writing in the journal Earth System Science Data, the scientists outline how key indicators have changed since publication of the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Working Group 1 report in 2021- which provided key data that fed into the subsequent landmark IPCC synthesis report this year. The analysis also found emissions were “at an all-time high”, with human activity resulting in the equivalent of 54 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere on average every year over the 2012-2021 period.

In line with the ratchet-mechanism of increasing ambition envisioned by the Paris Agreement “we need scientific information about emissions, concentration, and temperature as often as possible to keep international climate negotiations up to date and to be able to adjust and if necessary correct national policies”, she added.

“Even though we are not yet at 1.5 degrees warming, the carbon budget will likely be exhausted in only a few years as we have a triple whammy of heating from very high CO2 emissions, heating from increases in other GHG emissions and heating from reductions in pollution,” Prof Forster explained.

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