This report analyzes key economic developments in the US, Asia, and Europe. It explores the impact of recent policy decisions, trade tensions, and inflation on growth prospects. Additionally, it examines the stances of central banks in the US and Europe and assesses the outlook for interest rates and currencies.
Our economists take a look at recent developments in the US, Asia and Europe, as well as in FX, commodities, central banks and rates. United States Recent business surveys suggest that the clean election outcome has led companies that delayed investment and hiring due to election/regulatory uncertainty to start putting money to work. Confirmation of an ongoing low taxation environment should also support growth. However, there are risks too from President-elect Trump’s policy proposals.
inflation increased for the third consecutive month in December to 2.4%, while core inflation remained steady at 2.7%. Services price inflation rose to 4%, and the disinflationary impact of energy prices is diminishing. With higher energy prices, we expect headline inflation to increase further in the first quarter. Meanwhile, long-term consumer inflation expectations have risen to 2.4%.
ECONOMICS FED ECB INFLATION INTEREST RATES CURRENCIES US ECONOMY EUROPEAN ECONOMY ASIAN ECONOMY TRADE CENTRAL BANKS
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