Our MLB betting picks for 7-6-2024 expect early fireworks when the San Francisco Giants take on the Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB betting picks think Kyle Harrison will be greeted rudely in his return to the Giants' rotation while Logan Allen's woes will continue for the Guardians on Saturday afternoon.
Saturday’s game features two young left-handed starting pitchers in Kyle Harrison and Logan Allen. Both teams have hit lefties well, which has me eyeing the total with my Giants vs. Guardians predictions and. While it’s definitely a boost to have the promising 22-year-old back healthy, he has a tough matchup in his return.
Harrison’s surface-level 3.96 ERA looks good enough at first sight, but a closer inspection of his profile is off-putting. He’s not a big swing-and-miss guy and allows a lot of worrisome contact quality . , a 25-year-old hurler with a 5.75 ERA, 5.72 xERA, and 5.63 FIP. He’s been downright ineffective across the board and allows very poor contact quality . He throws his four-seamer nearly 50% of the time but it’s a poor offering — it’s slow and hitters feast upon it with a .335 BA and .604 SLG.
I’m isolating for the First Five Innings total and playing the Over at 4.5. Cleveland has the best bullpen in the league with a 2.57 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, so I’d prefer to attack the starting pitching by avoiding the full game total. Both lineups have been great against LHP and we have two young, hittable lefties on the mound.Since DraftKings won't allow me to parlay the F5 total, I'll replace it with both teams to score 3+ runs.
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