The Georgia Southern Eagles are slight favorites over the Sam Houston State Bearkats in the New Orleans Bowl, despite the Bearkats' high motivation for their first-ever bowl game.
After moving down to 4.5-point favorites, the value is firmly on the Eagles' side as they're set to take on the Bearkats at Caesars Superdome.The New Orleans Bowl might be underappreciated in the lead-up to the first round of the 12-team College Football Playoff, but the Georgia Southern Eagles and the Sam Houston State Bearkats will not care about that lack of attention. They will show up in the Superdome with intent this week. Motivation sides with the underdog, but my Georgia Southern vs.
Sam Houston State predictions will still back the favorite, largely because of success where it matters most. Kickoff comes at 7:00 pm ET on Thursday, December 19.Let’s start with a PSA, a bit of Gambling 101: Bowl games are high in variance and low in predictability. They are ideal holiday programming for midday lulls when you are not working that hard.Losing them would damper the Bearkats' offense. But it increasingly looks like both may play, as may many of those names in the portal. This is Sam Houston’s first-ever bowl game, marking only the Bearkats’ second season at the FBS level. There is a want to notch this win. How many of those players will play is difficult to nail down, at best. Hence the difficulty in predicting bowl games.should be favored by more than -4.5. The biggest reason this spread is so close is because of that intangible Sam Houston motivation. Can it be logically countered by the intangible effect of losing your head coach? If so, then we are back to the original thought that the Eagles should be favored by more than -4.5. The Bearkats’ offense is simply too miserable to be trusted to keep up with Clay Helton’s passing designs. The nicest thing that can be said about Sam Houston’s offense is that it ranks No. 50 in the country in late-down success rate at 43.1%. However, the Bearkats face late downs far too often, and when failing on more than half of them, repeated third downs become repeated punt
College Football Georgia Southern Eagles Sam Houston State Bearkats New Orleans Bowl Bowl Predictions
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