Tight ends haven’t often provided good returns on first-round NFL draft investments, but a pair of analysts say the Georgia star is well worth a high pick.
“I think he’s going to be a hit,” one draft analyst said of Brock Bowers. “It typically just doesn’t happen in the NFL draft, but there are outliers.
“He wasn’t a well-rounded prospect,” Rogers said of Pitts, “he was just kind of a freakishly athletic pass-catching prospect.”seemingly uninterested in getting the most out of him, but his current trajectory is as disappointing as that of the four tight ends previously drafted in the top 10. That list: T.J. Hockenson ; Eric Ebron ; Vernon Davis and Kellen Winslow Jr. .
Just one tight end taken in the first round after 2003 has made even three Pro Bowls, and Greg Olsen only accomplished that after the Bears, who drafted him, traded him to the Panthers. The other 21 post-Shockey first-rounders have combined for 14 Pro Bowls for their drafting teams.Meanwhile, the NFL’s top tight ends in recent years have consistently emerged from the later rounds.
Pointing to the emergences of Olsen and the Jaguars’ Evan Engram after their original teams decided to move on, and to David Njoku’s breakout last year in his seventh season for Cleveland, Norris wrote: “Tight end might be the slowest developing position in the NFL.”Another issue teams often face in evaluating draft tight end prospects is limited usage in college. Kittle had just 48 receptions over his four years at Iowa, and Kelce did little before his third and final season at Cincinnati.
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