GBP/USD bulls revisit close to the European highs ahead of US CPI

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GBP/USD bulls revisit close to the European highs ahead of US CPI
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GBP/USD bulls revisit close to the European highs ahead of US CPI – by fx_ross GBPUSD Currencies DollarIndex BOE

is also finding support on stronger-than-expected economic data in the UK of late and is leading investors to believe that the nation might just avoid a recession after all. Sterling has also benefitted from a softer US Dollar that has been pressured by the belief in markets that the Federal Reserve is coming towards the end of its rate hiking cycle.

´´Last week’s stronger than expected US labour market data underpinned the stickiness of wages and inflation pressures on the other side of the Atlantic,´´ analysts at Rabobank said. ´´As a result, the market withdrew some of the projected Fed easing that has been anticipated for the end of this year.´´

´´It is our view that there will be no easing in policy from the Fed until next year. We foresee some support for the USD in the coming months as 2023 rate cuts are fully priced out. We see scope for GBP/USD to push back to 1.22 on a 3-month view,´´ the analysts at Rabobank concluded. For the immediate future, we have the US inflation figures coming out today which will provide more direction on the world's largest economy's battle against inflation. ´´Core prices likely stayed firm in April, with the index rising a strong 0.4% MoM for a second straight month, as goods inflation likely continued to strengthen,´´ analysts at TD Securities said.

As for the Federal Reserve, with respect to this data release, the central bank has opened the door to a pause after hiking by 500bp. The Fed remains concerned about inflation being too high and will raise rates further if appropriate. The event is key as the Fed is highly data-dependent and going forward, the Fed has stated that policy will be considered on a meeting-to-meeting basis.

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