The court case between Monique Ryan and Sally Rugg has energised Josh Frydenberg.
between the woman who defeated him, independent Monique Ryan, and her former chief of staff Sally Rugg.
However, he was genuinely weighing up whether returning to Canberra was best for his young family. He was also waiting to see how the state of the economy and Ryan’s performance altered the likelihood of a second straight loss. Over three elections, Frydenberg’s primary vote had slowly been eroded from nearly 60 per cent to 43 per cent. Ryan holds it with a 2.9 per cent margin after a 6.5 percentage point Liberal primary vote drop .
Many voters would see the case as an unremarkable workplace dispute, he argued. More importantly, Samaras said demographic sands would continue to shift underneath Frydenberg, creating an even younger electorate.But there is a growing view within the Liberal Party that Ryan is permanently damaged and one of her biggest assets, her image as a person of integrity who rises above the political fray, has been diminished.
Roy Morgan polling before the election showed Frydenberg was the preferred prime minister by a big margin. But a strong teal ground campaign damaged him and some Victorian Liberal figures argue Frydenberg created a false narrative that former prime minister Scott Morrison was solely to blame for losing. Frydenberg’s own polling showed his net favorability rating dropped from being significantly positive in late 2021 to only marginally positive before the May 2022 election.
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton said he “would love to have [Frydenberg] back as part of our team as the next member for Kooyong”.The Liberal Party’s ability to win back the state seat of Hawthorn - which is within Kooyong - and hold off teal challengers in both Hawthorn and Kew has shown Liberals the value of grassroots campaigning against community independents. According to teal sources, these state losses also worried some in Ryan’s camp.
“How would this affect you directly?” Ryan cautiously asked her constituents about the superannuation change.
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