French PM Bayrou Survives No-Confidence Vote After Budget Showdown

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French PM Bayrou Survives No-Confidence Vote After Budget Showdown
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French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou narrowly avoided a downfall after using special powers to pass the 2025 budget without parliamentary approval. This move triggered a no-confidence motion, ultimately failing to secure enough votes to remove him from office. The vote highlights the ongoing political instability in France following last year's elections.

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou utilized special executive powers on Monday to secure the passage of the country's 2025 budget without a vote from lawmakers. This move triggered a no-confidence motion that poses a significant threat to Bayrou 's position and the stability of his government.Opposition parties are anticipated to submit the no-confidence motion later Monday, with a vote scheduled for Wednesday in the National Assembly.

The outcome of this vote will determine whether Bayrou remains in power or faces a new political and economic crisis for France. His survival hinges on the support he can garner from various political parties. Bayrou is France's fourth prime minister in less than a year and a half.French politics have been in a state of disarray since President Emmanuel Macron called snap elections last year, resulting in a parliament where no single party holds a majority. France, with one of the world's largest economies, has faced international scrutiny due to its inability to pass a budget. The government, under Bayrou's leadership, proposed a budget that included significant spending cuts of 40 billion euros ($42 billion) and tax increases of 20 billion euros. After weeks of debate and concerns raised by opposition lawmakers, Bayrou presented a revised budget that addressed some of these concerns. While the revised budget retained an extra tax on large companies and increased a tax on financial transactions, it removed the planned 4,000 job cuts in national education. However, these concessions proved insufficient to satisfy the opposition parties.Bayrou, lacking a majority in the National Assembly, resorted to Article 49.3 of the French constitution, a rarely used provision that allows the government to pass legislation without a parliamentary vote. To pass the no-confidence motion, at least half of the 577 seats in the National Assembly are required. While France Unbowed's motion is expected to receive support from Communist and Green lawmakers, it falls short of the necessary majority. The vote of the Socialists is crucial, and while the party has stated its intention not to bring down the Bayrou government, citing the need for a budget, some individual members may choose to defy party instructions. The far-right leader, Marine Le Pen, who played a significant role in the downfall of the previous government, holds considerable influence. Her National Rally party, the largest single group in the French lower house of parliament, is expected to provide voting instructions to its members on Wednesday. If Bayrou is voted out, Macron will face the challenge of appointing a new prime minister and forming a new government capable of achieving consensus on the budget.

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