Four's a trend: Democrats are doing much better in special elections since Roe was overturned

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Four's a trend: Democrats are doing much better in special elections since Roe was overturned
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Since the high court decision, there have been four special House elections. The results share one thing in common | Analysis

A special election, on its own, cannot tell us much about the political environment. Grouped together, special elections can tell a story.

And in the case of special elections for the US House since Roe v. Wade was overturned, the story is clear: The national environment has become far more favorable to Democrats over the past two months. Prior to the US Supreme Court ruling that there was no longer a federal constitutional right to an abortion, Republicans were doing quite well in special House elections. They were outperforming the 2020 presidential baseline by an average of 6 points.

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