Will COVID-19 long-haulers push outpatient medical system to breaking point?
Carolina Nieto of Escondido and Julio Lara of Valley Center became the newest patients in the Sharp HealthCare COVID-19 recovery program on Friday, meeting with rehabilitation specialists about lingering symptoms they have suffered since 2021.
After all, previous long COVID estimates indicate that between 10% and 30% of all infections will show multiple symptoms that remain months after the original infection has resolved. Those 300,000 holiday infections, then, could be expected to generate somewhere between 30,000 and 90,000 long COVID cases.
There is a growing consensus in medical literature that the lower overall severity of illness caused by Omicron is likely to translate to fewer long COVID diagnoses. The hope is that a less-severe illness will correlate with less-severe lingering symptoms. “You’re about four to six times less likely to experience long COVID if you vaccinate within four weeks, and even if you do it from four to eight weeks, you’re three times less likely,” Tseng said.
“My shortness of breath was really bad. I couldn’t be without oxygen for even one second. It’s still not perfect. I still need oxygen when I walk, but it has been so much better since I got the vaccine.” Experts would counter that natural immunity earned by winning a bout with COVID wanes over time and that there is increasing evidence of reinfection, especially in places where Omicron has caused cases to surge.
“I’m somewhat optimistic that the numbers will be a little bit lower because of that,” Horton said. “However, just because of the sheer number of cases that have occurred recently, even 5% would be significant.” Some, he said, struggle to hold, manipulate and act on ideas, an especially distressing condition for the large number of local residents engaged in science careers.
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