Get the latest Florida International vs. Liberty predictions ahead of their Conference USA showdown. Free college football picks and predictions for Tuesday, October 8.
Florida International vs Liberty NCAAF Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets: Panthers Keep it Close Early
The Flames are undefeated and the heavy favorites to win the C-USA this year. They are also at home against a Golden Panthers team that lost to FCS Monmouth a few weeks ago.For starters, this Liberty team is not as dominant as the one that went 13-0 on the way to the C-USA championship. The Flames enter this game at 4-0 straight up but they’ve been sloppy.
Meanwhile, the Flames defense has allowed 24 points to three of its four opponents this season and rank 73rd in EPA/play. Coming off two brutal losses that streak extending to three vs. Louisiana Tech as slight-home dogs felt like it was in the cards for FIU. So, of course, the Panthers won outright 17-10.
I’m betting this game is closer than this spread suggests, particularly in the first half, where Liberty has a -2.3 average first-half point differential vs. FBS opponents. Give me FIU to keep this within double digits in the first half.Let’s run wild with this same-game parlay, starting with Liberty running back Quinton Cooley. Cooley is the lead dawg for the Flames. He is also the most explosive back on the roster and has carried the ball 53 times for 371 yards at a clip of 7.0 yards/carry.
Liberty has consistently underperformed to oddsmakers expectations this season, going 1-3 ATS while being favored in all four games and by 22 or more points in three of those. While it's always hard to tell which version of FIU we will see, the Panthers head into this game 3-2 ATS.Both Liberty and FIU should have success running the football in this matchup and are a combined 5-3-1 to the Over this season.
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