College football picks against the spread and betting preview for Week 1 of the 2024 season.
Everybody wants in on the action this season, and we want in too. So, we’ve set up a little friendly competition between Sports Illustrated Senior Writer Pat Forde and College Football Betting Insider Reed Wallach this season to see who can shine in the betting market to not just beat the books, but beat each other.
Underdogs ruled Week Zero, and I’m expecting that trend to roll over to Week 1 as Vegas tries to get a handle on teams early in the season. I’ll take a home ‘dog against an opponent trying to replace a top-five NFL draft pick at quarterback.I’d prefer a 14-point cushion to 13.5, but that’s still a fat spread. Clemson hasn’t been this big of an underdog in many years, perhaps since early in the Deshaun Watson Era.
While West Virginia had a strong season, the defense was outside the top 80 in defensive EPA/Play. I believe this can be a coming-out party for Kotelnecki’s revamped offense with Penn State. Just two years ago, Kotelnecki’s offense at Kansas was part of a 55–point effort in an overtime win at West Virginia.
UMass won at New Mexico State by double digits last season. I like Taisun Phomanchanh and the Minutemen to keep it rolling at home and beat a less talented team.I’m not sure Texas is all that incentivized to run it up on the Rams in this one.
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