First Quantum Minerals lowered its copper production forecast for 2024 due to mine sequencing at its Zambian operations and the ongoing political impasse at its Cobre Panama mine. The company now expects to produce 380,000–440,000 tonnes of copper, down from the previous estimate of 400,000–450,000 tonnes.
First Quantum Minerals has cut its copper guidance by 3.5% at the midpoint, citing Zambia n mine sequencing, while politics has kept its Cobre Panama idle. The Toronto-headquartered company now expects production of 380,000–440,000 tonnes copper this year, down from earlier estimates of 400,000–450,000 tonnes.
At Kansanshi in Zambia, the initial ramp-up of the S3 expansion from mid-year will rely on low-grade stockpiles before higher-grade ore is available in 2027. At Sentinel, the updated mine plan prioritizes the accelerated mining of lower-grade oxidized and transitional ore in Stages 3 and 4, combined with increased waste stripping, to secure long-term ore supply and reduce future operational risks.“Our focus remains on advancing key projects while strengthening our balance sheet to support sustainable growth,” he said in a release. First Quantum Minerals shares trading in Toronto fell as much as 4.3%, or C85¢, on the news Thursday morning before closing at C$18.73, down 3.8%. The stock has ranged between C$10.91 and C$21.45 over the past 12 months and it has a market capitalization of C$15.6 billion .Challenges persist at Cobre Panama, where production remains halted. The mine holds 121,000 dry tonnes of copper concentrate awaiting shipment as First Quantum awaits approval from Panamanian authorities for a so-called preservation and safe management plan.for failing to resolve the issue, and committed to tackling it with what he described as “credibility and national acceptance.” Mulino announced the public consultation plan last year. On Jan. 12, government ministers inspected the site and called for the export of stored ammonium nitrate, citing safety concerns over its long-term storage at the Punta Rincón port, the company said.The $1.25 billion Kansanshi S3 Expansion, 62% complete, aims to enhance processing capacity by 25 million tonnes per year. The Sentinel open-pit’s revised mine plan targets oxidized and transitional ore in stages three and four, combined with an accelerated waste stripping program to secure long-term ore supply. Rising labour and power costs in Zambia are adding pressure, with 2025 capital expenditures now expected to reach $1.3–$1.45 billion, an increase of $100 million due to deferred 2024 spending and inflation.Last year, the company’s operations exceeded expectations, with total copper production reaching 431,000 tonnes, beating the 400,000–420,000-tonne guidance range. Kansanshi contributed 171,000 tonnes, a 36,000-tonne increase from 2023, driven by higher grades and improved grade control. Sentinel produced 231,000 tonnes, benefiting from increased throughput and improved ore availability. Gold production for the year is now forecasted at 135,000–155,000 oz., up from earlier guidance, as Kansanshi continues to mine higher-grade zones. Enterprise, the company’s nickel operation in Zambia, achieved commercial production in mid-last year and is ramping up, with the full-year nickel guidance set at 15,000–25,000 tonnes. A previous version of this article stated the S3 expansion was delayed since December, when, in fact, the company has guided for a mid-year start-up. We apologize for the error.The news of Glencore and Rio’s discussions “has turned up the temperature on an already simmering M&A environment,” RBC Capital Markets analyst says.O3 Mining investor knocks Agnico offer
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