Kelsey Mitchell makes from deep in our Fire vs Fever predictions and WNBA picks for May 20.
The Fever host the Fire in their first road game in franchise history tonight. Jason Logan doesn't expect a warm welcome in Indiana and looks to Kelsey Mitchell to heat up from beyond the arc.
The Indiana Fever and Portland Fire were supposed to be on opposite ends of the WNBA standings, but both teams enter Wednesday with identical 2-2 records to start the year.
Indiana is a sizable home favorite for this matchup with the expansion team and a tall total tells the tale.guard Kelsey Mitchell is coming off her worst outing from 3-point range, but things will return to the norm against theBoston is back inside tonight and Mitchell, who averaged 8.7 3PA in the three games prior, faces a soft Portland perimeter which sits dead last in 3-point defense .are questionable and that depth will be tested against Indiana’s league-leading pace of play and the fourth highest 3-point volume. The Portland Fire get their first taste of life on the road in the WNBA.
And if defense travels, that’s bad news for the Fire. They sit near the bottom of the defensive metrics and take on the high-octane offense of the Fever, who top the league in pace rating and sit fourth in offense. On top of that, Portland’s backcourt is limping into Wednesday with some standout guards listed as questionable. Kelsey Mitchell gets back to her regular 3-point volume against the worst perimeter defense in the land.
Mitchell averaged 8.7 3PAs in the opening three games before a rotation change took outside touches away. Things will be back to normal tonight and Mitchell’s projections call for three makes from downtown.has dished out 20 assists over her last two outings and pushes pace against one of the worst defenses to start the 2026 season.
The Fire are second last in defensive rating and give up a ton of assists, allowing foes to record a dime on almost 76% of their made field goals. Caitlin Clark is starting to find her way back into the flow of the Fever’s offense after missing most of last year due to injuries. Her playmaking has seen the biggest uptick in the last two outings, recording 10 assists in each of those showings.
Portland’s defense is a work in progress, currently sitting second last in defensive rating, while allowing foes to connect for a WNBA-high 25 assists per game and an insane 76% assist rate. Two games against the New York Liberty will do that. Given the double-digit spread and tall Over/Under, Clark will have plenty of passing potential tonight.
Mitchell has made the first bucket for the Fever in two of their four games and is always a live option to open scoring, with an ability to get to the rim or knock down a spot-up triple. This is a nice price considering she’s Indiana’s top offensive threat. Thank the"Clark effect" for these wonky odds. : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.
We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.
On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications.
You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.2026 WNBA MVP Odds: A'ja Wilson Already Handling Business
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